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ACUS11 KWNS 310854
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310854=20
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-311100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0374
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0354 AM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022

Areas affected...Southeast Alabama...Southwest Georgia...Florida
Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 84...

Valid 310854Z - 311100Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 84 continues.

SUMMARY...A threat for damaging wind gusts, isolated large hail and
a tornado or two will continue early this morning across parts of
southeast Alabama, southwest Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. New
watch issuance will need be to considered to the east of the current
watch.

DISCUSSION...Latest mosaic radar imagery shows an organized
convective line extending from near Dothan, Alabama extending north-northeastward to Columbus, Georgia. A shortwave trough with a
band of large-scale ascent is located over far southwest Georgia,
evident on water-vapor imagery. This feature will move northeastward
this morning into south-central Georgia providing support for
continued thunderstorm development. In addition, the WSR-88D VWP out
of Valdosta, Georgia has 0-6 km shear near 65 kt with a looped
hodograph. This will be favorable for supercells embedded in the
line with a potential for tornadoes. These storms could also produce
wind damage and isolated large hail, especially with segments that
obtain bowing structure. The severe threat should continue through
daybreak. New weather watch issuance may become necessary to the
east of WW 84.

..Broyles.. 03/31/2022

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!pPYDLK6KCLirBtIB_Fnu51zoExQGZ2ecq1H5UluZpnLTZdrvR-mGrifUtnmaQ6VKAoMf78JO$=
for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...

LAT...LON 32328379 32828446 32648499 32208525 30968563 30428613
29968648 29518632 29098557 29028455 29598387 30078370
32328379=20



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ACUS11 KWNS 271713
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271713=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-271915-

Mesoscale Discussion 0374
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1213 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2023

Areas affected...Far Southeast AL...Southern GA...Far Southern SC

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 92...

Valid 271713Z - 271915Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 92
continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for damaging gusts and isolated hail continues
across far southeast AL, southern GA, and far southern SC.

DISCUSSION...Clusters of showers and thunderstorms continue along
the composite outflow boundary that extends from far southeast AL
northeastward into southern SC. Forward propagation has been noted
within the linear segment moving across east-central GA towards the
southern GA/SC and a separate linear segment moving across central
GA. Damaging gusts remain possible within these bowing segments. A
more clustered storm mode is evident across far southeast AL, where
some hail is possible, particularly as a result of cell
interactions. Given the convective evolution observed farther north,
the expectation is for this cluster to trend more linear as well,
with an attendant threat for damaging gusts. The tornado threat with
all of these storms/clusters is low, owing primarily to veered
low-level winds ahead of the outflow.

..Mosier.. 03/27/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_gVIYP63fYHjcIlwegeHIUuNP9EG96ztVF9PoAEwKEih1UjUw-NO3VRrgI4Kz7ZY-DsxST8x0= qm2Acfs9VINxa-iwr8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON 31228621 32038554 33058160 32358082 31508142 31288397
30968558 31228621=20


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ACUS11 KWNS 032131
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032131=20
IDZ000-ORZ000-032300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0374
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0431 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024

Areas affected...portions of far eastern Oregon into western and
central Idaho

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 032131Z - 032300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated strong wind gusts and instances of hail may
accompany the stronger storms this afternoon into early evening. The
severe threat is expected to be sparse and localized.

DISCUSSION...Multiple pulse cellular storms and multicells have
recently developed to the east of a cloud deck in the past couple of
hours over far eastern OR into southwestern ID. Here, diurnal
heating has encouraged surface temperatures to warm into the mid 60s
F amid mid 30s-40s F dewpoints, that in tandem with steep lapse
rates, has boosted SBCAPE to 500-1000 J/kg. RAP forecast soundings
and regional VADs depict curved, elongated hodographs, indicating
the presence of strong deep-layer shear, with 21Z mesoanalysis
depicting over 40 kts of effective bulk shear. Forecast soundings
show thin CAPE profiles atop a dry, well-mixed boundary layer. As
such, brief and localized instances of strong wind gusts and perhaps
some hail may occur with the stronger multicells or any transient
supercells that can develop. Nonetheless, the severe threat is
expected to remain isolated.

..Squitieri/Guyer.. 04/03/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8jL3TJaY0GTEfz6NGXBy8U52ECN2HhqEXh2PB8N82GDlTdQ-2t41rP3pZPQj5gceYthjLLOVQ= wdFDMev56A7zUm0jKg$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PIH...MSO...BOI...

LAT...LON 42631780 43031797 43501784 44021731 44651652 45021469
44831408 44551392 44271389 43741444 43491492 43161597
42811705 42631780=20


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