ACUS11 KWNS 232304
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232304=20
PAZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-240100-

Mesoscale Discussion 1570
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0604 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022

Areas affected...parts of central and northern Virginia into
Maryland and south-central Pennsylvania

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 492...

Valid 232304Z - 240100Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 492
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts or marginal hail remains possible
within and just east of the watch area for an hour or two.

DISCUSSION...Storms continue to redevelop along a long-lived outflow
boundary, periodically indicating marginal hail cores as well as
wind gust potential. Multiple observations have recently measured
wind gusts in the 30-40kt range as the line has moved out of WV.=20

The air mass ahead of the surging outflow remains unstable, with
MLCAPE near 1500 J/kg. While minimal convective inhibition exists,
and heating has been lost, the surging outflow may continue to
support sporadic marginally severe storms, whether hail or gusts.

Given the time of day, and lack of any larger-scale support other
than the outflow, it appears any severe risk will be isolated
through evening, and additional watches are not expected. In the
short term, local extensions may be utilized depending on storm
trends.

..Jewell.. 07/23/2022

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9ZUx3X_OSZtifGDQCu4dgeJH0xM8NZC1Z2AoZdqqOM7wxJzLBg36hopzcYviFbd2S8tU1MuGC= YmzxkUFvLcWzQxg7UE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...

LAT...LON 38967809 39477777 39977760 40287743 40327708 40147670
39807657 39287658 38827676 38117714 37397785 37267842
37467881 37687892 37877895 38237856 38607829 38967809=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

ACUS11 KWNS 160256
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160256=20
NMZ000-COZ000-160500-

Mesoscale Discussion 1570
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0956 PM CDT Sat Jul 15 2023

Areas affected...Extreme southeast CO into northeast/east-central NM

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 495...

Valid 160256Z - 160500Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 495
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated supercells may continue into late evening, with a
threat of large hail and possibly a tornado. WW 495 has been
extended in time to 05 UTC (11 PM MDT).

DISCUSSION...At 0250 UTC, isolated supercells are ongoing from
southeast CO into northeast/east-central NM. While MLCINH is
beginning to increase across the region with the onset of nocturnal
cooling, it will not become prohibitive for maintenance of
surface-based storms until later tonight, and a couple supercells
may persist into late evening as they continue to move
south-southeastward.=20

Large hail will likely remain the primary hazard in the short term,
but a tornado was recently reported with the supercell now in
Harding County, and a modest increase in low-level shear/SRH with
time may continue to support a brief tornado threat with the more
intense supercells. With some threat likely to persist past the 03
UTC (9 PM MDT) expiration time of WW 495, the watch has been locally
extended to 05 UTC (11 PM MDT).

..Dean.. 07/16/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!66dArVi9-Ihw1wIdGQgfawyVBkD-ENoxvzF-sa_5Gfxy-lLZNEOJC8z8XwpdyB59N0z8896VQ= BHhXTUnZBMWqcncU4s$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...

LAT...LON 37260441 37260323 36340322 35690321 35250323 34520333
33750354 34020501 34900515 37260441=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)