This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1647297055-112669-17100
Content-Type: text/plain
Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable

ACUS11 KWNS 142230
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142229=20
TXZ000-150000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0254
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0529 PM CDT Mon Mar 14 2022

Areas affected...Northeast/East-Central TX

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 45...

Valid 142229Z - 150000Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 45
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat will increase markedly over the next few
hours. Supercells, with some tornado potential, are expected.
Greatest risk will be across eastern portions of ww and there is
some consideration being given to a tornado watch across this area
in the 23-00Z time frame.

DISCUSSION...Leading edge of large-scale forcing for ascent has
overspread the dryline and scattered convection has increased
markedly along the I-35 corridor from north-central into central TX.
Exit region of 500mb speed max will overspread east-central TX later
this evening. Of particular concern is the higher boundary-layer
moisture that is advancing north across the southern/eastern
portions of ww45 where surface dew points are in the mid-upper 50s.
These dew points will yield appreciably higher instability given the
very steep lapse rates. As dew points continue to creep into the
upper 50s there is increasing tornado concern with these evolving
supercells.

..Darrow.. 03/14/2022

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!uqGE9AVi4tl6lI0KMVgIjArRJTnKeohyKHnFmRlUoW_vPSi2fwBu0iFnm8Ng2paRAwx826Iu$=
for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...

LAT...LON 31729664 32549562 32489479 31699461 30669558 30689666
31729664=20



------------=_1647297055-112669-17100
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1647297055-112669-17100--

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

ACUS11 KWNS 040641
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040640=20
MEZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-041245-

Mesoscale Discussion 0254
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 AM CST Sat Mar 04 2023

Areas affected...portions of northeast NY into VT/NH and western ME

Concerning...Heavy snow=20

Valid 040640Z - 041245Z

SUMMARY...Heavy snow with rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour is
expected across parts of northeast New York, into New Hampshire,
Vermont, and western Maine through around 12z/7am EST.

DISCUSSION...Areas of light to moderate snow are ongoing across
portions of the New England. A heavier band of precipitation over
eastern NY into MA and southern VT/NH will lift north/northeast and
intensify overnight. This activity is occurring within a band of
strong 700 mb frontogenesis and midlevel warm advection, ahead of a
compact upper trough and surface cyclone. Forecast RAP soundings
show thermodynamic profiles becoming saturated, with an
approximately 2.5 kft deep dendritic growth zone. Strong ascent
through the DGZ and the saturated thermodynamic profile will support
increasing snowfall rates, with periods of 1 to 2 inch per hour
rates expected. The highest snowfall rates appear most likely in the
08-12z time frame.

..Leitman.. 03/04/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_dITruXnx1OeAGwFrgV6c6Ft4D-VWtgkx0ETLA1iIGZS3hjVPp5kjg6ToqXqZSChptMiy3hxJ= 8Wo_JBXTj1U8NWObzg$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BTV...ALY...

LAT...LON 44766918 44446915 43776951 43107032 42857130 42807171
42777317 42957402 43557441 44687439 45127350 45437156
45497054 45196953 44766918=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

ACUS11 KWNS 150837
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150836=20
ALZ000-MSZ000-151030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0254
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0336 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024

Areas affected...Parts of northern MS/AL

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 150836Z - 151030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Some threat for locally damaging gusts and/or a brief
tornado may persist through the early morning.

DISCUSSION...A loosely organized QLCS is ongoing early this morning
from eastern/middle TN toward the ArkLaTex region. In general, the
QLCS is oriented southwest-to-northeast, roughly parallel to the
deep-layer shear vectors, with a tendency for outflow to undercut
the strongest convection. However, a portion of the QLCS across
northern MS has taken on a more north-south orientation, with some
increase in storm organization noted, including some low-level
rotation where this line segment is intersecting the more east-west
oriented outflow.=20

If this line segment can maintain its current orientation and
organization as it moves eastward, then some threat for locally
damaging gusts will spread eastward into northeast MS and northern
AL. A brief line-embedded tornado also cannot be ruled out where
this line segment intersects the outflow. Given the relatively
narrow corridor of somewhat more favorable severe threat and
potential for outflow to keep sagging southward, the need for watch
issuance is uncertain at this time.

..Dean/Thompson.. 03/15/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_yUZA5BUV4BWvvBrconwy3tXrTyiP1Amagqu6Btz-lBhWQXdW7mNJsxcTBPqU6pGXv572GguR= uVayUwamA1-LtFvYHo$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 33908927 34198894 34398873 34588867 34638777 34688718
34678680 34508658 34138658 33958670 33838718 33778798
33768863 33918938 33908927=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)