• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1121

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, June 12, 2022 00:18:21
    ACUS11 KWNS 120018
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 120017=20
    KSZ000-120215-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1121
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0717 PM CDT Sat Jun 11 2022

    Areas affected...parts of eastern Kansas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345...346...

    Valid 120017Z - 120215Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345, 346
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A corridor of significant damaging winds and hail remains
    possible over parts of eastern Kansas. A tornado may also occur.
    Localized gusts of 80-100 mph are possible. An additional watch may
    also be needed into parts of southern Kansas.

    DISCUSSION...Storms that crossed south out of Nebraska have merged
    into a convective complex with periodic mesocyclones, now moving
    into Riley and Pottawatomie Counties, and soon I-70. This complex
    continues to have an impressive satellite presentation, and a very
    moist and unstable air mass remains ahead of it. The system has been
    moving south at close to 30 kt, with a small degree of backbuilding
    toward the west. Recent radar trends also indicate a growing area of
    severe outflow, and this may persist for several hours,
    necessitating the need for another watch to the south.

    ..Jewell.. 06/12/2022

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4ScCdpyfG9cnwmFox-H1yntq_aS0TiU5JeuB9-5e1u7NkOeat27ThI6S7YBPJN7Llu5hGxfwu= vFMOd6xV-L_INxAnww$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...

    LAT...LON 39639716 39619617 39349608 39069590 38479557 37879550
    37459585 37349651 37399714 37609743 38379753 39249739
    39639716=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, June 17, 2023 04:18:40
    ACUS11 KWNS 170418
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 170418=20
    FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-170545-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1121
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1118 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023

    Areas affected...southeastern Mississippi and southwestern AL

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 320...

    Valid 170418Z - 170545Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 320
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated severe wind and hail will remain possible tonight
    before storms move offshore.

    DISCUSSION...Across southern MS/AL, the ongoing linear complex of
    storms is expected to continue to track southward toward the coast
    tonight. Some weakening has been noted, mainly on the eastern flank
    where CAPE is lower. The upshear side of the thunderstorm complex is
    expected to remain over land beyond 05z tonight, potentially
    allowing for some additional weakening due to nocturnal
    stabilization. However, moderate buoyancy and mid-level flow of
    50-60 kt will remain supportive of stronger downdrafts capable of
    damaging gusts as storms approach the coast tonight. It remains
    unclear how much severe threat will remain beyond 05z, but at least
    a few damaging gusts are possible.

    ..Lyons.. 06/17/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7TDsXf4112Ec8FR9sz5h6YfqYPPsjbEdpmvzLthTbC-PJxdksQGaW0954xSgLOoIoOIc2zRJW= 4ZQlLuso7i5kJQRrrE$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...

    LAT...LON 31929026 32079015 32119002 32098941 31828855 31618774
    31328705 30818682 30398675 30248733 30168847 30208894
    30248931 30308951 30578964 30978982 31369000 31929026=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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