ACUS11 KWNS 100307
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100306=20
NEZ000-KSZ000-100430-

Mesoscale Discussion 1106
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1006 PM CDT Thu Jun 09 2022

Areas affected...Parts of central and south-central Nebraska

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 337...

Valid 100306Z - 100430Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 337
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated large hail remains possible across the southern
and eastern portion of WW337. Downstream watch issuance is not
expected.

DISCUSSION...A few splitting cells continue across parts of central
and south-central Nebraska this evening, along the eastern periphery
of a weakly unstable airmass. Despite the elevated nature of this
activity, strong midlevel flow (40-50 kt in the 3-6-km layer) per
the UEX VWP should continue to support isolated large hail. Farther
east over eastern Nebraska, poor midlevel lapse rates atop upper
50s/lower 60s dewpoints and increasing nocturnal boundary-layer
stability should generally limit the severe threat. Therefore,
downstream watch issuance is not expected.

..Weinman/Thompson.. 06/10/2022

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4J1UZhOQ34ktAv9JuRK7IfqykdT61qPBvvAOMJchtdaT2gJT1zQ2xdmafWwxs3XHyuz6Y2WpG= sLnvczGzgnCMYzCGcQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...

LAT...LON 40210054 40810045 41119961 41699900 41649859 41029850
40279880 39889921 39930046 40210054=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

ACUS11 KWNS 161907
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161906=20
NCZ000-162130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1106
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0206 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023

Areas affected...much of central into eastern North Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 161906Z - 162130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A sparse damaging gust or instance of marginally severe
hail is possible this afternoon with the stronger storms. The severe
threat will be isolated and a WW issuance is not expected.

DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms have been maturing along and
south of the VA/NC border over the past hour or so, with MRMS mosaic
radar data showing 30 dBZ cores reaching 40 kft, suggesting that a
few storms are becoming relatively robust. Given the presence of 8-9
C/km low-level lapse rates (per 18Z mesoanalysis), evaporative
cooling within the boundary layer may allow for a couple of damaging
gusts with the heavier storm cores. Modest strengthening winds with
height are contributing to lengthy hodographs and 35+ kts of
effective bulk shear, which may support an instance or two of
marginally severe hail. Nonetheless, since the severe threat is
expected to remain sparse, a WW issuance is not currently
anticipated.

..Squitieri/Hart.. 06/16/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4gWEvhgtSOIHmXi_rA1KGpcNzYdIwu16B4hVi9PpZo_jbxpDzdeOP0p1mQLYbynNrzAKr-QgL= vm7_ptHvlH-jJ2J7_Y$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...

LAT...LON 34827916 35297973 36097981 36517953 36537776 36477653
36067565 35667558 35187601 34747659 34507758 34557825
34827916=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)