• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0349

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, March 30, 2022 04:33:13
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    ------------=_1648614796-65587-274
    Content-Type: text/plain
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable

    ACUS11 KWNS 300433
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 300432=20
    TXZ000-300600-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0349
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1132 PM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022

    Areas affected...West-Central/North-Central TX

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 73...

    Valid 300432Z - 300600Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 73
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe threat will spread across the eastern half of ww73
    over the next few hours.

    DISCUSSION...Well-organized squall line has finally matured in
    response to strong mid-level forcing. This linear MCS is advancing
    east at roughly 30-35kt, but a few bow-type structures are moving a
    bit quicker, especially over Runnels/Concho County. Within 2hr the
    leading edge of this convection should be nearing the eastern edge
    of ww73. Primary risk continues to be wind and hail.

    ..Darrow.. 03/30/2022

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!tKrTYaDivgyufWuf8uGEzt-7HLuwbFHW3x28-qd_Lr0BquJBX9qsjQ38rLvlxrJw-8SVxidU$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...MAF...

    LAT...LON 30500186 33449951 33449727 30509968 30500186=20



    ------------=_1648614796-65587-274
    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit
    MIME-Version: 1.0

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1648614796-65587-274--

    --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, March 26, 2023 10:04:47
    ACUS11 KWNS 261004
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 261004=20
    SCZ000-GAZ000-261200-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0349
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0504 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2023

    Areas affected...central and eastern Georgia into western and
    central South Carolina

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

    Valid 261004Z - 261200Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

    SUMMARY...Severe risk is expected to expand across eastern Georgia
    and eventually into South Carolina over the next few hours. New WW
    issuance is likely.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows the eastern-most of the
    severe/supercell storms ongoing across the central Gulf Coast states
    moving east-northeastward across central Georgia at around 35 kt.=20 Extrapolation of this convection would suggest these storms reaching
    the eastern edge of WW 82 around 26/11Z, and then the Georgia/South
    Carolina border at around 13Z.

    At this time, such extrapolation appears to be a reasonable
    projection, as the airmass downstream remains similarly
    moist/unstable near and to the southeast of the surface baroclinic
    zone. As such, expect storms to remain intense -- and capable of
    producing large hail -- as they shift eastward over the next few
    hours. This will likely require new WW issuance.

    ..Goss/Grams.. 03/26/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-wNrwnGpGij36dg-Ca6JLI2N0eQZ_Q62IFUvNRb54vdkk1yvyp3PMt9PenGvnMZ0nQUMJwkcC= T7SPWo4lC5GhxUTY0Q$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

    LAT...LON 32608236 32628315 33088354 33838331 34508168 34458000
    33187968 32758124 32608236=20


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)