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ACUS11 KWNS 292244
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292244=20
KSZ000-OKZ000-300015-
Mesoscale Discussion 0342
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0544 PM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022
Areas affected...Portions of south and east-central Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70...
Valid 292244Z - 300015Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70
continues.
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue across eastern Kansas with a
damaging wind threat and isolated large hail.
DISCUSSION...Storm mode has been messy thus far with the storm
activity across southern Kansas. There have been multiple competing
updrafts and even embedded left movers. The ICT VWP shows a mostly
straight hodograph above 2km and considering the high LCLs, this is
the portion of the wind field acting on the convection. In addition,
mean flow in this layer is parallel to the dryline. Therefore,
continued linear growth is expected. ICT WSR-88D data shows a cold
pool has already developed out of this convection northwest of
Wichita. There is still some inhibition ahead of this convection
which may explain the somewhat muted intensity of the storms thus
far. However, since a cold pool has already developed, expect this
convection to persist into the evening when further strengthening
may occur as cooler air moves in aloft and the low-level jet
strengthens.
..Bentley/Guyer.. 03/29/2022
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!sL9eD8SV6cgImenCMgyWUN5D5WsxUWPmSNqr4M3Cg_dCGlXAiXJFi__cQ1sueYnhciQAzlPp$=
for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...
LAT...LON 38979748 39229717 39189599 38709586 37299611 37029733
36989809 37059842 37329857 38019824 38979748=20
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