This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1648080417-3848-1237
Content-Type: text/plain
Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable

ACUS11 KWNS 240006
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240005=20
VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-240130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0331
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0705 PM CDT Wed Mar 23 2022

Areas affected...portions of western SC/NC/VA

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 240005Z - 240130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...A couple of strong to severe storms are possible over the
next 1-3 hours across western SC/NC/VA. A tornado and isolated
strong gusts are the main hazards possible with this activity in the
short term.

DISCUSSION...Isolated convection has increased this evening from far
western SC into western NC. These cells are developing in a weakly
unstable environment with MLCAPE values around 500 J/kg amid strong
vertical shear. In the low-levels, mid 60s F dewpoints are
supporting around 100 J/kg 3 km MLCAPE. Favorable low-level
instability and shear will support rotating cells and a short term
tornado threat may persist for a couple of hours as these cells
track toward the northeast. Large-scale ascent across the region
will remain weak as a midlevel shortwave impulse spreads northward
toward VA/WV/PA. Weakening ascent couple with boundary-layer cooling
with loss of daytime heating should limit the eastward extent and
longevity of the threat. The area is being monitored for a small, short-duration tornado watch.

..Leitman/Mosier.. 03/24/2022

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!sV3EC3tiuKTRwmQ321GEKYJ60dCd69wWXEhYVqb5FWwFDMhyUeiLTFq7BrV_SxlUyjp2Y7w-$=
for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...GSP...

LAT...LON 36848082 37038056 37118026 37098013 37007989 36797989
36378014 35958042 35158122 34718208 34588267 34588292
34658304 34808322 35288286 36168183 36848082=20



------------=_1648080417-3848-1237
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit
MIME-Version: 1.0

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1648080417-3848-1237--

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

ACUS11 KWNS 250207
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250207=20
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-250330-

Mesoscale Discussion 0331
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0907 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

Areas affected...Parts of northwestern AL into Middle TN

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 250207Z - 250330Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...The risk of severe storms capable of all hazards will
increase over portions of northwestern AL into Middle TN during the
next few hours. A watch issuance is likely before 0230Z.

DISCUSSION...A QLCS is tracking eastward across western TN into
northern MS, while northeastward-moving supercells are ongoing over
northern into central MS. As a large-scale trough evident in water
vapor imagery continues eastward this evening, the warm sector
(characterized by middle/upper 60s dewpoints) will spread eastward
into parts of western AL and Middle TN. At the same time, a
strengthening low-level jet will also shift eastward over the warm
sector, favoring a continuation of the severe storms with eastward
extent. Large/clockwise-turning hodographs (sampled by regional VWP)
will support organized storms including supercells (even if embedded
in a line) with a risk of tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail.
A watch will likely be issued for parts of this area before 0230Z.

..Weinman/Thompson.. 03/25/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8ZkxLL7bk8Tfx49_8mSu9fALjs2ZNQXFahqmkh7JMOeYk3UwfLZ3Xm0TwHasZf-2S4dlpYyzm= xOmUNOmeoJv7CRX5oc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 33258829 34048822 34568815 35168797 35398767 35408714
35268643 34888600 34468602 33848685 33118732 32838768
32928829 33258829=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

ACUS11 KWNS 020102
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020101=20
ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-020230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0331
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024

Areas affected...portions of eastern Texas into southeastern
Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 020101Z - 020230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...The severe threat is increasing across portions of
northeastern Texas into southeastern Oklahoma. Severe hail and wind
are the main threats, though a tornado cannot be ruled out. A WW
issuance is likely over the next hour or so.

DISCUSSION...A QLCS with embedded supercells is progressing across
the metroplex, with copious amounts of 2-3 inch hail reported with
the northernmost supercell. These storms are advancing eastward
across a buoyant warm sector, overspread by 50-70 kts of effective
bulk shear, so the severe threat is expected to persist with the
ongoing storms for several more hours. The 00Z FWD observed sounding
showed 9 C/km mid-level lapse rates and elongated hodographs. As
such, embedded supercells should continue east of the ongoing
watches with the potential for severe (50+ kt) gusts and large hail
(with some 1-2 inch stones possible). Since the storms will be
approaching the western extent of a low-level jet, a modest increase
in low-level shear may also support the development of a tornado or
two. A WW issuance will be needed soon to address the impending
severe threat.

..Squitieri/Hart.. 04/02/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8yhsPqT50g-Wd1GK1mSsGsdLv7rCWI7C0zXtMZQC63VacD4SaFohhUacHfg0X1Qhoz2aXGXgY= KyXi8yJg4vpHj2D5QY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON 31489752 34509559 35359520 35509474 35209434 34359410
33659408 32869445 32119524 31579619 31489752=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)