• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1195

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, June 16, 2022 21:35:22
    ACUS11 KWNS 162135
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 162134=20
    WVZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-OHZ000-162300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1195
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0434 PM CDT Thu Jun 16 2022

    Areas affected...Southeastern Ohio..southwest
    Pennsylvania...northern West Virginia

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 375...

    Valid 162134Z - 162300Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 375
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Damaging winds and large hail will remain possible with a southeastward moving cluster of supercells. With shear diminishing
    to the south, the severe threat may become more isolated with time.
    Depending on trends, a new downstream watch could be needed.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercell thunderstorms continues to move southeastward through southeast Ohio and into southwestern
    Pennsylvania. Radar imagery over the last hour or so from KPBZ shows
    that storm organization may be on the decrease. This is in part due
    to interactions between the nearby storms as well as being farther
    removed from the stronger mid-level winds to the north. As these
    storms continue into parts of West Virginia, the thermodynamic
    environment will remain similar while the shear, as mentioned, will
    continue to weaken. Given the current organization of the storms, at
    least some threat for damaging winds and large hail will exist into
    West Virginia. Depending on convective trends, this may warrant a
    new severe thunderstorm watch.

    ..Wendt.. 06/16/2022

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!92aNhURoi_lUQ52nKGGz13z1CcVfz9Nz6pFXz8fEjfJhT7p-K0C6Dj_NjPDyasz3JMb3w6vLi= 7v48JaQLNOZMVsA8rw$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

    LAT...LON 40278234 40378209 40438114 40128022 39667923 39317916
    38987929 38827979 38928079 39198142 39648221 40068250
    40278234=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, June 21, 2023 23:08:27
    ACUS11 KWNS 212308
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 212307=20
    NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-220030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1195
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0607 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2023

    Areas affected...Southeast Wyoming into Northeast Colorado

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 350...

    Valid 212307Z - 220030Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 350 continues.

    SUMMARY...Large to very large hail and damaging winds will continue
    to be a threat into the evening. Tornadoes will also remain possible
    with the strongest storms, particularly those near the outflow
    boundary.

    DISCUSSION...Severe storms continue from southeast Wyoming into
    northeast Colorado. The strongest activity has been in northeast
    Colorado where moisture/buoyancy has been larger. Several large hail
    reports, some 2-2.5 inches, have occurred from southwest Nebraska
    into northeast Colorado. Tornadoes have also been observed as well
    with those storms.

    Outflow has been pushing westward from these storms and storm
    motions have also been largely westward as they move into the the
    axis of greatest buoyancy. The environment will remain favorable for
    large to very large hail and damaging winds. Even with the outflow
    pushing away from the storms, the environment is not prohibitive for
    tornadoes. The strongest storms will still be capable of a tornado
    given the sufficient low-level SRH.

    ..Wendt.. 06/21/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4l7571IjA_lyrfZbOvGBK_RR-lKLKlB5yvwsASA6sP2UmnmHIwNIVkLRhUeAaNodBvoD-hDZy= esyKgtg1F0uZACJ_3U$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...

    LAT...LON 39650357 39910419 40520481 41260512 42050517 42560479
    42490423 42130366 41510342 40760313 40410302 39970314
    39650357=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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