This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1647091252-112669-14899
Content-Type: text/plain
Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable

ACUS11 KWNS 121320
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121320=20
FLZ000-121415-

Mesoscale Discussion 0248
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0720 AM CST Sat Mar 12 2022

Areas affected...Part of the north central Florida Peninsula

Concerning...Tornado Watch 43...

Valid 121320Z - 121415Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 43 continues.

SUMMARY...It is not clear that another severe weather watch will be
needed, but a line of vigorous thunderstorm activity may continue to
advance inland, across Tampa Bay and into the Interstate 4 corridor,
through 9-11 AM EST. Occasional, isolated embedded supercell
structures may pose a risk for locally damaging wind gusts and
perhaps a tornado or two.

DISCUSSION...Pre-frontal convection remains fairly vigorous within
the line progressing into coastal areas near/north of Tampa. Latest
Rapid Refresh analysis and forecast soundings suggest that the 12Z
Tampa sounding may have been just south of a narrow corridor of
better low-level Gulf moisture return, which might be contributing
to a plume of mixed-layer CAPE up to 1000 J/kg. Before the strong south-southwesterly flow around 850 mb (currently near 50 kt) begins
to weaken across the central peninsula by 16-18Z, there appears
potential for the line of storms to continue to develop inland,
through the Interstate 4 corridor, accompanied by a risk for locally
damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado.

..Kerr.. 03/12/2022

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!pNYbXpCwPmrlBY_a7pkdP1Zhld6mmMApc1zF1IptDgx-zAlhR6QqNDiVjONpkPsp9kOaexMG$=
for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

LAT...LON 27888307 28468233 28868188 29268141 28918082 27258228
26878290 26718414 27388355 27888307=20



------------=_1647091252-112669-14899
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1647091252-112669-14899--

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

ACUS11 KWNS 150132
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150131=20
ARZ000-150230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0248
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0831 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Areas affected...Central Arkansas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...

Valid 150131Z - 150230Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45 continues.

SUMMARY...A strong tornado will be possible in the vicinity of
western Little Rock over the next hour.

DISCUSSION...Low-level flow as increased over the last hour across
central Arkansas. 0-1 km storm-relative helicity on the WSR-88D VWP
at Little Rock has increased from near 150 m2/s2 to about 225 m2/s2.
This increase in low-level shear will continue to support a tornado
threat. The storm to the west of Little Rock in the area around Hot
Springs has had a history of tornadoes. As this storm moves
east-northeastward, the storm-scale environment could support the
development of a strong tornado in the vicinity of western Little
Rock over the next 60 minutes.

..Broyles.. 03/15/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6GvM72AHKvH2JnHTfaIA9DsfLVi-EeNaJ3D0LDsK4cf0lFgABYJSalMrjRynLEQUQE42d6VQL= Ny896EkTWyo8zKLeow$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...

LAT...LON 34799183 34639228 34489325 34839342 35139256 35199193
35009172 34799183=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)