ACUS11 KWNS 121209
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121208=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-121445-
Mesoscale Discussion 1127
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0708 AM CDT Sun Jun 12 2022
Areas affected...Southeast Nebraska...Northeast Kansas...Western and
Central Missouri
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20
Valid 121208Z - 121445Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...An isolated wind-damage and large hail threat may persist,
and move southeastward across northeast Kansas over the next 2 to 3
hours. Weather watch issuance will be conditional upon whether the
storms can maintain intensity.
DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar from Hastings, shows a
supercell in Thayer County, Nebraska. This storm is located along
the northwestern edge of moderate instability. The axis of
instability extends southeastward into western Missouri, where the
RAP has MLCAPE as high as 4000 J/kg. The storm tops have recently
cooled on IR satellite imagery, suggesting that organization has
occurred. As this storm moves east-southeastward across northeast
Kansas this morning, storm coverage and intensity could increase.
However, there is uncertainty. If the storms do not trend upward,
then weather watch issuance will not be necessary this morning.
..Broyles/Hart.. 06/12/2022
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!59wud_7kEovss0u9XjvaEJ4JVqK2k3FQkznUqaWdlXNED55ivKtmCjzT9I3ei-jsHZ_ujI8lk= XAFhNdL-qHprLoiNvQ$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...
LAT...LON 40549741 40079782 39429734 38839581 38019409 37689341
37709300 38209247 38679245 39189291 40109462 40659665
40549741=20
=3D =3D =3D
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