• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1085

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, June 08, 2022 07:52:42
    ACUS11 KWNS 080752
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 080752=20
    OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-080945-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1085
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0252 AM CDT Wed Jun 08 2022

    Areas affected...Far Southeast Colorado...Far Southwest
    Kansas...Oklahoma Panhandle...Northeast Texas Panhandle...Far
    Northwest Oklahoma

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 326...328...

    Valid 080752Z - 080945Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 326, 328
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A threat for large hail and isolated wind damage may
    continue for a few more hours from far southeast Colorado into far
    northwest Oklahoma. A local extension of WW 326 may be necessary
    beyond the 10Z expiration.

    DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar from Dodge City shows
    a northwest-to-southeast oriented line of strong to severe
    thunderstorms from near La Junta, Colorado southeastward into the
    eastern Oklahoma Panhandle. This line consists of several organized
    multicells, and a supercell near the Colorado-Kansas state line. The
    storms are located along the northeastern edge of moderate
    instability, where MLCAPE is estimated in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg
    range. In addition, moderate deep-layer shear is present, with the
    WSR-88D VWP at Dodge City having 0-6 km shear near 35 knots.
    Deep-layer shear is likely a bit stronger along the corridor where
    the strongest storms are ongoing. This along with steep mid-level
    lapse rates will be favorable for large hail with the more intense
    updrafts. An isolated wind-damage threat could accompany the leading
    edge of the stronger cells as well.

    ..Broyles.. 06/08/2022

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8Q8KVlSQCDgRbshQkjMebnDi8fLRUTrxrcVoVHUz2VBNH7XMXYxhDzyKnGNwOWmzMQYQQ2VRj= YagEWj3ancKATVJC0A$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...PUB...

    LAT...LON 36549954 37650083 38130178 38270261 38060292 37810305
    37470278 36950204 35820061 36549954=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, June 15, 2023 22:56:47
    ACUS11 KWNS 152256
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 152256=20
    FLZ000-ALZ000-160100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1085
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0556 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

    Areas affected...Portions of the Florida Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 308...

    Valid 152256Z - 160100Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 308
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe weather threat will continue over the next few
    hours across the Florida Panhandle as storms continue to move
    southward slowly. The most likely severe-weather threat this
    evening will be damaging winds.

    DISCUSSION...Mesoanalysis still indicates an unstable airmass along
    the Gulf Coast with sufficient shear to support an organized severe
    threat this evening. The overall convective trend has been toward a
    linear mode, which would favor a damaging wind threat. However,
    storms in the western Florida Panhandle have maintained a
    semi-discrete mode with weak midlevel rotation. Given the favorable
    low-level shear indicated in local VWPs, a tornado and isolated
    severe hail cannot be ruled out. Over the next few hours, storms
    will continue their slow southward progression ending the severe
    weather threat.

    ..Jirak/Grams.. 06/15/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5mHVtMTPryNTaAUAIttH-ERNCq8YpRAUSAMA6eaw-b55Ytx4VOZ3U1WZ6lKvjNAZ512WQviu1= 1PjwA2xwF8oOXmxvi8$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...MOB...

    LAT...LON 31008766 30858647 30398515 30218391 29908307 29498282
    29398307 29508334 29798358 30058405 29918449 29718494
    29838526 30198576 30358649 30378712 30408758 30498797
    30698797 31008766=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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