ACUS11 KWNS 050241
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050241=20
KSZ000-050415-
Mesoscale Discussion 1034
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0941 PM CDT Sat Jun 04 2022
Areas affected...Parts of northern and west-central Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 308...309...
Valid 050241Z - 050415Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 308, 309
continues.
SUMMARY...The threat for damaging winds should increase across parts
of northern and west-central Kansas as a developing MCS tracks
southeastward tonight.
DISCUSSION...Regional radar data shows a developing MCS over
northwest KS, where multiple 65+ mph gusts have been reported along
with a brief tornado. As additional cell mergers take place over the
area, continued upscale growth and storm-scale organization is
expected -- aided by a strengthening southerly low-level jet per
regional VWP data. The pre-convective environment remains
moist/unstable (2500-3000 MLCAPE), while 35-45 kt effective bulk
shear oriented perpendicular to the amalgamating cold pools should
support further organization during the next couple hours. The
primary hazard should be damaging gusts up to 75 mph as the MCS
tracks southeastward, especially as rear-inflow jets become
established and forward propagation increases with time. In
addition, modest clockwise curvature in the low-level hodographs
ahead of the MCS could support an embedded tornado or two where deeper/sustained updrafts develop along the leading cold pool.
..Weinman.. 06/05/2022
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-ld8FABsZZLvNHGRW50ardqkKncsEHKPbr8gSMlkNsxdN9XnLexfj22ekpN-bsSSIti5hJ72f= 4ImQN-XQenkmSrLt8w$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...
LAT...LON 39450110 39800088 39980031 39999959 39969916 39539864
38949828 38449822 38169866 38139917 38340022 38600075
39110108 39450110=20
=3D =3D =3D
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