• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1024

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, June 04, 2022 04:12:43
    ACUS11 KWNS 040412
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 040412=20
    TXZ000-040615-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1024
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1112 PM CDT Fri Jun 03 2022

    Areas affected...parts of southwest Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 306...

    Valid 040412Z - 040615Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 306
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Damaging winds remain possible tonight, primarily within a
    narrow corridor across the eastern half of watch 306.

    DISCUSSION...Storms have consolidated into a small but fast-moving
    bow southeast of the Midland area, which is currently within a zone
    of stronger instability. Given that the air mass is less unstable
    due east of the storms, the storms may continue moving in more of a south/southeastward direction as to remain in the stronger
    instability. Only modest convective inhibition exists, and the
    prominent outflow combined with favorable storm-relative inflow may
    allow these severe storms to persist across a few more counties. At
    this time, another watch is not anticipated as the gradually cooling
    boundary layer aids weakening later tonight.

    ..Jewell.. 06/04/2022

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-EhT0ZZC_jjmYKX2Y5aU5ekSAZLr3Sp4uq7WCAfd8Cz0kNoKhykiiGAqBtQrR4UWJvcclV8nN= aKiFc-3zbAiiCeAAto$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

    LAT...LON 30970231 31380181 31580156 31530138 31190108 30620036
    30340009 29930004 29660062 29750140 29940188 30970231=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, June 13, 2023 23:58:19
    ACUS11 KWNS 132358
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 132357=20
    TXZ000-140100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1024
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0657 PM CDT Tue Jun 13 2023

    Areas affected...Portions of the Texas Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 283...

    Valid 132357Z - 140100Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 283
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A supercell with very large hail (perhaps wind-driven)
    will persist through the evening.

    DISCUSSION...A long-lived supercell continues southeast across the
    Texas Panhandle. This storm has a history of producing large to very
    large hail (as large as 4 inches near Dalhart). The downstream
    environment remains similar with around 1500 J/kg MUCAPE and
    effective shear around 70 knots. This should continue to support a
    sustained, strong supercell through the evening with a threat for
    large hail. While no severe wind reports have been received, the
    reflectivity structure is analogous to past wind-driven hail
    supercells.

    ..Bentley.. 06/13/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7SWFpyl7twRd_WRvRC89vePqM8IgcjoT4zHwdCVxc9bnoiuGoX0lj1E9IaqY2ZsCLw4QLmrSu= qWr59kra-sB88Eeae4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...AMA...

    LAT...LON 35280000 35020001 35070076 35250163 35640195 35890183
    36070143 35900006 35280000=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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