• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1010

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, June 02, 2022 02:19:09
    ACUS11 KWNS 020218
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 020218=20
    TXZ000-020315-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1010
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0918 PM CDT Wed Jun 01 2022

    Areas affected...Portions of west TX

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302...

    Valid 020218Z - 020315Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The threat for hail and severe wind gusts across Severe
    Thunderstorm Watch 302 continues to diminish, and additional watch
    issuance is not expected.

    DISCUSSION...Recent radar trends with convection ongoing across
    parts of west TX continue to show a gradual decrease in thunderstorm
    intensity and coverage. It appears that strengthening convective
    inhibition is limiting updraft strength, even as a southeasterly
    low-level jet modestly strengthens this evening. While some threat
    for hail and strong/gusty winds may persist in the short term with
    the strongest cores, the overall severe threat should become
    increasingly marginal and isolated with time this evening.
    Accordingly, Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302 will likely be allowed to
    expire as scheduled at 03Z.

    ..Gleason.. 06/02/2022

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4FnFJFuxVHEGC9LvbTn_gspnB9C928bmTL6yAMWi20Omyj3FjjZlH4HhkB5CyVzzkJDYCPSXc= fPa7cW9CPQ-ggIP-Bk$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...

    LAT...LON 29140371 30160347 32090151 32640065 32620016 32140020
    31500069 30840160 29710262 29040293 28920332 29140371=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, June 13, 2023 10:39:46
    ACUS11 KWNS 131039
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 131039=20
    LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-131215-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1010
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0539 AM CDT Tue Jun 13 2023

    Areas affected...Southern OK/North TX into the ArkLaTex

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 279...

    Valid 131039Z - 131215Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 279
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The threat for hail and localized strong/damaging gusts
    will spread east-southeastward this morning.

    DISCUSSION...Two elevated supercells have evolved early this
    morning, within a moderately unstable (MUCAPE greater than 2000
    J/kg) and favorably sheared (effective shear of 50+ kt) environment.
    One is ongoing northwest of Fort Worth, while the other has recently
    crossed the Red River into Fannin County, TX. Elongated hodographs
    will continue to support a large hail threat with these supercells,
    with the western-most cell potentially affecting northern parts of
    the Metroplex through 12Z.=20

    In addition to the ongoing supercells, a few strong to potentially
    severe storms may evolve out of gradually increasing elevated
    convection across south-central OK, before convection likely becomes
    focused closer to the ArkLaTex later this morning. Some eventual
    clustering of storms remains possible, which could potentially
    increase the threat for locally damaging gusts as convection spreads east-southeastward with time.

    ..Dean.. 06/13/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6td21X9G-Dvyt-Tw5dReurQfw2yNhxYEsdRA1tFnIz8aN8SK0bG9tijT03YfhCRRtVfkKzb9n= NVnXFTngmx9Qkp78B4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

    LAT...LON 34539813 34539600 34099389 32919356 32449429 32539590
    32639716 32809786 32979815 34539813=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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