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ACUS11 KWNS 162152
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162151=20
MSZ000-LAZ000-162315-
Mesoscale Discussion 0792
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0451 PM CDT Mon May 16 2022
Areas affected...Southwestern Mississippi...and eastern Louisiana
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20
Valid 162151Z - 162315Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A few strong to severe storms are possible through the
evening.
DISCUSSION...A few storms have recently developed along a weak wind
shift moving through southern Mississippi. Shear is quite weak in
this region, but MLCAPE is around 2000 to 2500 J/kg. Therefore,
instability may support some strong updraft/downdraft pairs with
marginally severe hail and a few wind gusts, but a more organized
severe weather threat is not anticipated.
..Bentley/Hart.. 05/16/2022
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9c5ocsC9tQ-pLLQB0UbEXrKNIiHmDjukGVeadM_dTti57dnEa-IKZw_h4Jk58HPn0hHmpmtgk= UMqZqdGuZkJFhlO4QM$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 30309137 30879154 31329156 31659123 31739073 31709012
31558980 31008955 30478967 30118999 30149087 30309137=20
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