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ACUS11 KWNS 062326
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062325=20
TNZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-070130-
Mesoscale Discussion 0431
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0625 PM CDT Wed Apr 06 2022
Areas affected...Eastern Tennessee to northwest Georgia
Concerning...Tornado Watch 103...
Valid 062325Z - 070130Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 103 continues.
SUMMARY...The threat for damaging winds, hail, and a tornado or two
continues as storms move across TN and northwest GA.
DISCUSSION...Latest regional radar mosaics over the past hour have
show a broken line of discrete cells, including a few transient
supercells, transition into a more linear mode as storms struggle to
remain ahead of the eastward-advancing cold front. Periodic bursts
of more intense convection (denoted by rapid cloud-top cooling in IR
imagery) and transient mesoscyclones over the past 30 minutes have
been noted, but the longevity of these features has been poor.
Meager, but sufficient, 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE and nearly 50 knots of
effective bulk shear (per the KMRX VWP) remains conditionally
supportive of strong to severe convection. So despite the transient
nature of the intensity of ongoing storms, severe hail, damaging
winds, and perhaps a brief tornado or two, remain possible for
portions of WW 103 ahead of the line.
..Moore.. 04/06/2022
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!oA5kuf1uRuXP432BS7HR7mgpHOhU9AssSDb-HL1W2TashISvxpD-JG1__U2DPKvCTI_9Cx6L$=
for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...
LAT...LON 34618565 35548474 36238397 36468338 36458280 36088306
35388367 34868416 34608459 34458504 34408541 34518566
34618565=20
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