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ACUS11 KWNS 050321
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050320=20
ARZ000-TXZ000-050415-

Mesoscale Discussion 0401
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1020 PM CDT Mon Apr 04 2022

Areas affected...Northeast Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 050320Z - 050415Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Tornado watch will likely be issued across the remainder
of northeast Texas and vicinity by 04z.

DISCUSSION...Southwest-northeast oriented MCS has evolved over
north-central TX late this evening. While hail has been the
predominant severe reported, the northern portion of the squall line
near the warm front has taken more bowing characteristics. Over the
last hour or so, this portion of the line segment has increased to
near 40kt with KTKI reporting 43kt with this line passage. By 05z
this activity will have progressed to the eastern edge of ww92.
Additionally, scattered discrete updrafts continue to develop ahead
of the squall line within the warm advection zone and these could
evolve into supercells within a strongly sheared environment.
Tornado watch will likely be issued by 04z to account for this
activity shifting downstream.

..Darrow/Thompson.. 04/05/2022

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!v6Zn9UVSA1amAxdm_nm-dd0iXRaVQq7P1fYm-ZCrunJ4PtF1an_lJ1jaYpoWAepnbk09ZYa-$=
for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...

LAT...LON 33659520 33279401 32359433 32359566 33659520=20



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ACUS11 KWNS 311936
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 311936=20
ARZ000-312000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0401
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0236 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

Areas affected...Central Arkansas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 94...

Valid 311936Z - 312000Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 94 continues.

SUMMARY...A confirmed tornado is ongoing within the southwestern
Little Rock metro area. Downstream environment will remain favorable
for this tornado to continue.

DISCUSSION...A tornadic supercell now entering the Little Rock metro
area has shown increasing organization over the last 30 minutes. As
of 223 PM CDT a confirmed tornado was moving northeastward. The KLZK
VAD shows strong veering in the lowest 1 km (over 400+ SRH). VROT
was observed to be 74 kts. Given the environment and radar
signature, this would suggest a likely intense (EF3) tornado.
Furthermore the low/mid 60s F dewpoints downstream and unimpeded
inflow, the expectation is for this storm to continue to pose a
threat for potentially strong tornado over the next hour at least.

..Wendt.. 03/31/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5zoy8DOrpklC0B41pnclKsj3_9yFEznquhQZe5z41yOlQstDIwGtpAExy9KFCxtlcpJgduRhr= bSRoHryaitSgNREFCc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...

LAT...LON 34729240 34839248 35039242 35199212 35439149 35369097
35359095 34949098 34779162 34729240=20


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ACUS11 KWNS 092217
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092217=20
MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-092345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0401
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0517 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024

Areas affected...northern Louisiana

Concerning...Tornado Watch 95...

Valid 092217Z - 092345Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 95 continues.

SUMMARY...A line of storms will move east this evening with a threat
for severe wind gusts and potentially a few tornadoes.

DISCUSSION...A well organized bowing-segment continue east across
northern Louisiana. This bow will continue to pose a threat for
severe wind gusts. In addition, a few tornadoes are possible given
around 150 m2/s2 0-1 SRH and several mesovorticies within the line.
The greatest tornado potential may be on the northern periphery of
the bow where the UDCZ is becoming more normal to the low-level
shear vector. In addition, it appears a meso-low and potential
"comma head" may be starting to form. Eventually, this line of
storms will move into weaker instability and weaker low-level flow
across Mississippi which will likely result in weakening of this
bow.

..Bentley.. 04/09/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-yvjvAYecArFYNkKc1c3BL4LeUivk09WKlcctu0yUpkzUPHoMQM6iWR86uc_JuHjrjr0ddo30= QU0kzmvF_TaAFGfzfQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 31349402 31579404 31879380 32069340 32249321 32439313
32689321 32879240 32779167 32409119 31629131 31299188
31339339 31349402=20


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